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\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a (Probabilities)\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0638\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0638\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0621\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0651 \u0644\u0640 \u201c\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0641\u064a\u062a\u0632\u201d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064f\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064f\u0651\u062f\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0633\u0628\u0642\u0647 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u064f\u0646\u0638\u0651\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0648\u0628\u060c \u0643\u0640 \u201c\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0634\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0627\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0633 \u062f\u064a \u0633\u0627\u0643\u0633\u201d (Marshal Maurice de Saxe) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0625\u0646\u0651 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u064f\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f\u0629\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0638\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064f\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (Fortune)\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062c\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0627\u0621 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0635\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627. \u0623\u0645\u0651\u0627 \u201c\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0631\u064a \u0623\u0646\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0646 \u062f\u064a \u062c\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0646\u064a\u201d (Baron Henri-Antoine de Jomini)\u060c \u0641\u0631\u0623\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0648\u0645\u064f\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0627. \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0625\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u201c\u0633\u0627\u0643\u0633\u201d \u0648\u201d\u062c\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0646\u064a\u201d \u0641\u0634\u0644\u0648\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0651\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064c \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u064c\u0651 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629\u061b \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631\u0648\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0627\u0631\u0636\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0643\u0633 \u062a\u0648\u0643\u064a\u062f \u201c\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0641\u064a\u062a\u0632\u201d \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064f\u0651\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u064a\u0651\u0629 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629\u064d \u062d\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0648\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0651 \u0623\u0628\u0631\u0632 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0647\u0645 \u201c\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0641\u064a\u062a\u0632\u201d \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0643\u0627\u0646 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\u064a\u064f\u0645\u064a\u0651\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0642\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062f\u064f\u0651\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0631\u064f\u0651\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0650\u0636\u0645\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0630\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0651\u0635 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u0628\u0642 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u201c\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0641\u064a\u062a\u0632\u201d \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629\u064c \u0644\u0627\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0651\u0629\u064c 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\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a \u0641\u064a \u201c\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0647\u0627\u201d \u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0643\u0647\u0630\u0647.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0634:<\/strong><br><a href=\"https:\/\/babelwad.com\/ar\/%d8%a5%d9%86%d9%91%d9%87%d8%a7-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%ad%d8%ab-%d8%b9%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%82%d9%8a%d9%86-2-%d9%83%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%88%d8%b2%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%aa%d8%b2-%d9%88%d8%b3%d8%ad%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/#1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[1]&nbsp;<\/a>\u0647\u0643\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0623\u062e\u0631\u062c\u062a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0634\u0639\u0648\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0644\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0643\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0643\u0651\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0639\u0627\u0628\u0647.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/babelwad.com\/ar\/%d8%a5%d9%86%d9%91%d9%87%d8%a7-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%ad%d8%ab-%d8%b9%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%82%d9%8a%d9%86-2-%d9%83%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%88%d8%b2%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%aa%d8%b2-%d9%88%d8%b3%d8%ad%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/#2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[2]&nbsp;<\/a>\u0646\u0630\u0643\u0651\u0631 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0628\u0630\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0635\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0634 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u062d\u062b\u0647 \u0639\u0646 \u201c\u0625\u0643\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0648\u062f\u201d\u060c \u0648\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0642\u0647 \u201c\u0625\u0646\u0643\u064a\u062f\u0648\u201d \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644\u062a\u0647 \u0644\u062a\u0631\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u062e\u0648\u0641\u0647\u060c \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0640 \u201c\u0622\u062e\u064a\u0644\u201d\u060c \u0648\u201d\u0628\u0631\u0648\u0645\u064a\u062b\u0648\u0633\u201d\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0634\u0627\u0634\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u064a\u0628\u0648\u0631\u063a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a\u062f.<br><a href=\"https:\/\/babelwad.com\/ar\/%d8%a5%d9%86%d9%91%d9%87%d8%a7-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a8%d8%ad%d8%ab-%d8%b9%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%8a%d9%82%d9%8a%d9%86-2-%d9%83%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%88%d8%b2%d9%81%d9%8a%d8%aa%d8%b2-%d9%88%d8%b3%d8%ad%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8\/#3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">[3]<\/a>&nbsp;\u0627\u064f\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644:<a href=\"https:\/\/babelwad.com\/ar\/kaynonah_part-2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0648\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0646\u0648\u0646\u0629<\/a>\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639:<\/strong><br>1. \u00c5dahl, Susanne. (2007). Good Lives, Hidden Miseries. An Ethnography of Uncertainty in a Finnish Village, Helsinki University Printing House, Helsinki.<br>2.Alaszewski, Andy. (2015) Anthropology and risk: insights into uncertainty, danger and blame from other cultures \u2013 A review essay, Health, Risk &amp; Society, 17:3-4, 205-225.<br>3. Beyerchen, Alan. (1992). Clausewitz, Nonlinearity, and the Unpredictability of War. International Security 17, no. 3 : 59-90.<br>4.Boholm, \u00c5sa. (1996) Risk perception and social anthropology: Critique of cultural theory, Ethnos, 61:1-2, 64-84.<br>5. Bouthoul, Gaston. (1961). Trait\u00e9 de pol\u00e9mologie : Sociologie des guerres, PAYOT, Paris.<br>6. Clausewitz, Carl Von. (2014). De la guerre, Tempus Perrin, Paris.<br>7. Dein, Simon. (2016). The Anthropology of Uncertainty: Magic, Witchcraft and Risk and Forensic Implications. Journal of Anthropology Reports. 01. 10.35248\/2684-1304.16.1.107.<br>8. Gat, Azar. (2001). A History of Military Thought: From the Enlightenment to the Cold War.<br>9. Inwood, Michael. (1999). A Heidegger Dictionary, Blackwell Publishers Ltd, Maiden-Massachusetts.<br>10. Waldman, Thomas. (2010). \u2018Shadows of Uncertainty\u2019: Clausewitz\u2019s Timeless Analysis of Chance in War, Defence Studies, 10:3, 336-368.<br>11. \u063a\u0644\u064a\u0643\u060c \u062c\u0627\u064a\u0645\u0633. \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0636\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639. \u062a\u0631\u062c\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a. \u0628\u064a\u0631\u0648\u062a: \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0642\u064a\u060c 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062f <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0648\u0645\u062c\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u0644 \u064a\u064f\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062e\u064a\u0651\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u061f \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0635\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0640 \u201c\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629\u201d \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628\u061f \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627\u061f \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0634\u0647 \u0645\u062c\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u062f\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u201c\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646\u201d. \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628\u060c \u062a\u064f\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629\u064c \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e. \u064a\u0630\u0647\u0628 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-19","category-11"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59260","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59260"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59260\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59262,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59260\/revisions\/59262"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59260"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59260"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albaboor.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59260"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}